October 3.
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09.30-10.00 |
Welcome and introduction.
Welcome by Eirik Førland.
Introduction to the workshop by Inger Hanssen-Bauer.
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10.00-13.00 | Invited presentations (Open
session). Chair: Eirik J. Førland
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10.00-10.50 |
Issues in statistical downscaling
modeling. Application for Romanian climate. Dr. Aristita Busuioc
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10.50-11.10 | Coffee break
|
11.10-12.00 |
Is statistical downscaling condemned to death? Dr. Radan Huth
|
12.00-12.50 |
Applying statistical downscaling to
environmental management and resource assessment. Professor Robert Wilby
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13.00-14.00 | Lunch
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14.00-15.45 |
Workshop session 1: What have we
learned and what do we need to know? Chair: Inger Hanssen-Bauer
Short presentations:
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| Lessons learnt from the STARDEX project. Clare Goodess
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| An
intercomparison of six statistical downscaling models and three
regional climate models for downscaling precipitation in the region
of the European Alps. Jürg Schmidli
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| Weather
Generators and their relation to atmospheric circulations for Sweden
and Norway. Christine Achberger
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| Downscaling
applications in paleoclimatology and wave climatology. Martin Widmann
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| Estimation of precipitation, temperature and evaporation in the catchment area of Elbe river in the period of 2000-2055 with neuro-fuzzy method. Saha Sodoudi
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| Discussion with focus on predictands/predictors, methods and domains.
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15.45-16.00 | Coffee break
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16.00-17.45 | Workshop
session 2: What have we learned and what do we need to know? Chair: Rasmus Benestad Short presentations:
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| Estimation
of extreme storm and precipitation events in climate scenarios. Gregor Leckebusch
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| Statistical
downscaling of extreme indices of precipitatoin in Sweden and China. Fredrik Wetterhall
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| An
example of application of statistical downscaling to a mesoscale
model to improve rainfall distribution in a catchment. Malgorzata Liszewska
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| Something
about extreme values from ENSEMBLES. Idar Barstad
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| Discussion
with focus on extremes/ distributions/ internal consistency of
downscaled scenarios.
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19.30 | Workshop Dinner
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October 4.
|
09.00-10.30 | Workshop session 3: What have we learned and what do we need to
know? Chair: Inger Hanssen-Bauer Short
presentations:
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| On the different types of uncertainties in statistical downscaling. Jaime Ribalaygua
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| Application of statistical Downscaling methods to classical and new tasks. W. Schöner, C.
Matulla
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| The range of applicability of statistical downscaling methods. Luis Torres
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| Record-statistics and Empirical-Statistical
downscaling. Rasmus Benestad
This presentation is also included as a PowerPoint-file due to
use of slide effects.
|
|
| Discussion with focus
on uncertainty and applicability of downscaled scenarios.
|
10.30-10.45 | Coffee break
|
10.45-12.00 | Workshop
session 4: What do we need to know and how do we get there? Chair:
Rasmus Benestad
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| Introduction:
Sketch of a Statistical Model Intercomparison Project (SMIP). Rasmus Benestad
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| Discussions concerning
possible future collaboration/projects.
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12.00-13.00 | Lunch
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13.00-15.00 | Concluding workshop session: Summary & conclusions. Chair: Eirik Førland
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The presentations before lunch on October 3. will be open for other scientists.